Here we go again. I’m going to try to predict some more winners in a major sport during a high school season.
This time it’s winter and the girls basketball postseason starts this week.
And I’m feeling quite optimistic for my last prediction column for this particular sport (that’s what you call a teaser in the business).
Last year we had two local teams win sectional titles — La Porte and Marquette — with the latter reaching semistate. I say we get more sectional winners this year.
I’d love to pick Michigan City as I retire from the prediction game just because I’ve always loved talking to head coach Mike Megyese. And the Wolves do have the bye, waiting until Friday to face the winner of the game between Merrillville and host Kankakee Valley.
The Kougars are 18-3, but just 2-2 against the Duneland Conference, which is the majority of this bracket. I think City’s size inside with Hannah Noveroske and Janicia Anderson will be too much for KV and City is playing its best basketball of the season now. But Chesterton will be the opponent for the Wolves in the final, and the Trojans will hang on for a close win.
La Porte has won two straight sectional titles, but it got relocated this season into the tough Penn Sectional. On John Harrell’s homestead.com basketball site, the Slicers are projected with a 14.9 percent chance to win the sectional, which isn’t too bad.
Penn is 61.9 percent and South Bend St. Joseph, La Porte’s likely opponent on Friday since the Slicers also have the bye, is 21.7 percent. I’m going with Megyese’s former school, St. Joseph, to pull off the upset.
There may be six teams in the John Glenn Sectional, but only two have a chance to win. Mishawaka Marian is 18-4 while playing in the tough Northern Indiana Conference against the likes of Penn and South Bend St. Joseph. The host Falcons are 18-5 while competing in the same conference.
Marian gets New Prairie (4-17) in the first round while Glenn gets Culver Academy (6-12). When the Falcons win, they win face South Bend Washington (7-15) in the semifinals.
So it will be Glenn and Marian in a great final, and I’m going with the Falcons in a slight upset.
Two years ago, Marquette won its first girls basketball sectional title, then lost a heartbreaker in the regional. Last year the Blazers won another sectional, then won their first regional before losing a heartbreaker at semistate.
I believe in patterns and matriculation, so Marquette will not only get through the Morgan Township Sectional, beating Washington Township in the first round, Westville in the semis and the host Cherokees in the final, but they will win two more titles to reach its first state championship game. Will they win the title? The pattern says no, but I’m feeling happy so I’ll say yes.
The Oregon-Davis Sectional is wide open, and I didn’t need John Harrell’s percentages to figure that out.
Culver Community (4-16) has struggled this season, but the rest of the teams have hovered around the .500 mark. South Central (9-12), Argos (10-9), Oregon-Davis (10-11), La Crosse (14-9) and Triton (10-12) have all had good wins and bad losses.
Thing is, the host Bobcats aren’t the same team since they defeated Michigan City on Dec. 19 with a key injury or two. They still have Katie and Kandis Sauer, but I’m going with a better feel-good story to win this bracket. I say La Crosse wins its first sectional ever now that Justene Charlesworth is back and playing well.
I’m all for feel-good stories now that I can see the light at the end of the tunnel.
Reach sports editor Steve T. Gorches at firstname.lastname@example.org or (219) 214-4206. Follow him on Twitter @SteveTGorches.